AAA Predicts 1.3 Million New Jerseyans Will Travel This July 4th, Despite High Gas Prices

Summer travel is already in full swing and Independence Day will be no exception as AAA predicts 1.3 million New Jerseyans will travel 50 miles or more from home over the holiday weekend (June 30 – July 4).

This is an increase of 3.3% over 2021, bringing travel volumes just shy of those seen in 2019.  Nationally, AAA predicts 47.9 million people will travel 50 miles or more from home over the holiday weekend an increase of 3.7% over 2021.

The biggest surprise – car travel – will set a new national record despite historically high gas prices with 42 million people hitting the road. In New Jersey 1.1 million residents will be traveling by car relativiely unchanged year over year.

“The volume of travelers we expect to see over Independence Day is a definite sign that summer travel is kicking into high gear,” said Tracy Noble, AAA Mid-Atlantic spokesperson. “Earlier this year, we started seeing the demand for travel increase and it has not tapered off. People are ready for a break and despite things costing more, they are finding ways to still take that much needed vacation.”

Car travel volume, even with national average gas prices near the $5 mark, will break previous records as 42 million opt to drive this Independence Day. Recent issues with air travel and ongoing concerns of cancellations and delays may be driving this increase. In fact, the share of people traveling by air will be the lowest since 2011.

AAA Independence Day Travel Highlights

Total Travel

  • In New Jersey, 1.3 million Garden State residents are expected to travel for the July 4th holiday period, a 3.3% increase over last year.
  • Nationally, 47.9 million travelers are expected to travel this Independence Day, a 3.7% increase over 2021.

Automobile Travel

  • In New Jersey, 1.1 million (86%) will drive to their destination, a decrease 0.2% percent over 2021.
  • Nationally, 42 million (87.5%) Americans will drive to their destinations, an increase of 0.4% over last year.

Air Travel

  • In New Jersey, 113,379 (9%) will be flying to their destination, an increase of 2.7% from 2021.
  • Nationally, 3.5 million (7%) people are taking to the skies this Independence Day, increasing air travel by 1.5% over last year.

Other

  • In New Jersey, 66,949 (5%) will utilize other modes of transportation for their getaway, an increase of 151.5% over last year. 
  • Nationally, 2.4 million travelers (5%), an increase of 168% from 2021, will look to other modes of transportation, including cruises, trains and buses.

“Traveling by car does provide a level of comfort and flexibility that people may be looking for given the recent challenges with flying,” Noble said. “But not all destinations are within driving distance, which doesn’t mean you have to abandon your vacation plans. The best advice we can give travelers is to consider working with a travel advisor who can help plan for the unexpected – like a flight cancellation. They are your best advocate.”

 

This Summer, Travel Stress-Free

Independence Day will be the second busiest since 2000, as travel volumes continue to trend upwards with no sign of slowing down. It is important travelers are prepared and flexible to minimize stress and enjoy the holiday. AAA offers the following advice:

  • Have a plan A, B and C. Flights, car rentals, accommodations, tours, cruises and other activities are in high demand and availability may be limited, which will impact pricing. Finding last-minute deals is unlikely so it’s recommended to look for discounts and rewards, usually available through a membership like AAA. This is also another time when travel advisors are a great resource since they may know of a deal that may not be readily available to the public.
    • Air—AAA finds that the average lowest airfare is 14% more than last year coming in at $201/ticket.
    • Hotels—Mid-range hotel rates have increased about 23%, with the average lowest nightly rates coming in at $244/night for AAA Approved Hotels.
    • Car Rentals— Since late last year, the average daily rate for car rentals has continued to increase. With more people traveling, these prices remain on the rise due to continued supply chain issues coupled with growing demand. However, because we saw record high rental car rates last year for the Independence Day holiday due to limited inventory, daily car rental rates have actually decreased 34% compared to last year’s holiday, with the average lowest rate coming in at $110/day. Rates are $40 more/day on average compared to 2019.
  • B-E-T on a breakdown-free trip. AAA expects to respond to over 446,000 calls for roadside assistance over the Independence Day holiday weekend. Make sure to get a full vehicle inspection ahead of any long trip but especially for components like a vehicle’s battery, engine and tires. Even a vehicle in top shape can run into an issue so it’s a good idea to pack a well-stocked emergency kit and have roadside assistance just in case.
  • Beat the rush. Travel on off-peak times or days or pick a hidden gem closer to home. Based on AAA booking data, Friday, July 1 is shaping up to be the busiest day for air travel during the holiday weekend (June 30 – July 4) with Monday, July 4 being the lightest. For those hitting the road, the Thursday and Friday before the holiday are anticipated to be peak traffic days.

July 4th Travel Times.JPG

Remember – Be Kind and Patient

For those traveling this Independence Day, it’s important to keep safety in mind for yourself and others. It’s easy to lose patience but remember, everyone has a common goal – kicking off their summer vacation safely.

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